Relaunch or stalemate? Neither. I am not confident of an inspiring result from this week's European Council, but nor do I believe that there will be a resounding failure, causing a split between the member states. The willingness to provide the EU with a new treaty will be reaffirmed, although certain elements of it will remain hazy, and the decision to convene an IGC (intergovernmental conference) will be made with the indication that it must be a short one, but without any deadline stated...