On Monday February 4, UNCTAD, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, published sections of an analysis looking at the impact of the trade war between the United States and China. According to these figures, the European Union is coming out on top.
The data summarised the impact of the 25% customs duties applied to those products that are now subject to retaliatory measures.
According to UNCTAD's analysis entitled "Who is profiting from US-Chinese trade tensions?”, in absolute terms, the European Union is in first place with an overall increase of 0.9% in export earnings in 2017, ahead of Mexico, with an increase of 5.9%, Japan (2.3%) and Canada (3.4%).
As for the most significant trade distortions, the authors of the study note that the effect of tariffs varies according to the flexibility of the goods.
Finally, tariffs would have the largest impact on regional value chains in East Asia.
The analysis can be viewed (in English) on the UNCTAD website: https://bit.ly/2Ss2wCt (Original in French by Hermine Donceel)