“To move away from Russian gas altogether in 2027, Europeans have increasingly turned to American LNG - 57% of the LNG imported into the EU in 2025”, explains the think tank Strategic Perspectives, which published its overview of EU gas flows on Thursday 11 June.
The think tank warns of a shift that comes at a “high economic and environmental cost”, “exposing Europe more directly to volatile global LNG markets and creating a possible new dependence on a single supplier”.
The overview of gas flows shows the EU’s growing dependence on gas imports, which accounted for 89% of its supply in 2025. Imports from Norway, Algeria, Russia, the United Kingdom, Azerbaijan and Libya account for 59% of total gas imports, and the other 41% is LNG.
A costly dependence. LNG accounted for 22% of the EU’s total gas supply in 2021 and 41% in 2025.
“The war in the Middle East has highlighted the EU’s growing exposure to these global LNG markets, where geopolitical tensions can quickly translate into high price volatility”, Strategic Perspectives points out.
Imported LNG comes mainly from the United States (57%), Russia (varies significantly by European country), Qatar (11%), Algeria (5%), Norway, Trinidad and Tobago, and Peru.
This finding should be viewed with some caution, however, as the think tank Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) noted on 5 June that LNG imports in the EU had fallen by 1.2% from March to May 2026 compared with 2025.
Read the analysis: https://aeur.eu/f/mbi (Original version in French by Nadège Delépine)